Observing Malaysian Social Media

Archive for July 2013

Kuala Besut GE13 Analysis

During the 13th General Election (GE13) we came up with a methodology for estimating individual voter support based on polling lane results from the 12th General Election (GE12). The results of these calculations were used to design a program to predict election results based on ‘swing’ parameters fed in e.g. ethnic support; age group; increasing partisanship etc. You can read a summary of this method at the end of this post.

Using the polling lane results of the 13th General Election we can compare our previous calculations and come up with an estimated swing. This can help inform analysts and campigners. We have just completed our analysis for Kuala Besut in anticipation of tomorrow’s by-election and these are the results.

Read the rest of this entry »

Written by politweet

July 23, 2013 at 8:19 am