Politweet.Org

Observing Malaysian Social Media

Posts Tagged ‘Anwar Ibrahim

Opinion Analysis on Anwar Trial Verdict

OpinionUsers_AnwarVerdict_Pie

We performed opinion-based analysis on 840 users based in Malaysia who tweeted about the Anwar trial verdict from February 10th 2015 – February 11th 2015.

Users were selected based on their tweet content and activity during this period. Sampling was done per-state based on the active user population during this period. Spammers, news agencies and accounts with automated tweets were not included in the sample.

From this dataset we analysed the individual Twitter user timelines to determine their opinion on the trial verdict. This took their tweets, retweets and conversations into account. Our goal was to gauge public opinion by Malaysian users on the guilty verdict.

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Written by politweet

February 17, 2015 at 1:00 pm

Top 20 Shared Photos Following Anwar Ibrahim’s Verdict

At 5pm today, Federal Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim was found guilty of sodomy by the Court of Appeal and subsequently sentenced to five years jail. Judge Datuk Balia Yusof Wahi allowed a stay on sentencing pending an appeal, and granted bail of RM10,000.

The following is a list of the most shared photos on Twitter mentioning Anwar Ibrahim and @anwaribrahim from 4pm – 8.30pm, March 7th 2014. Ranking is done by the number of users sharing the URL of the photo, not the number of retweets received.
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Written by politweet

March 7, 2014 at 8:59 pm

Kajang #GE13 Analysis

During the 13th General Election (GE13) we came up with a methodology for estimating individual voter support based on polling lane results from the 12th General Election (GE12). The results of these calculations were used to design a program to predict election results based on ‘swing’ parameters fed in e.g. ethnic support; age group; increasing partisanship etc. You can read a summary of this method at the end of this post.

Using the polling lane results of the 13th General Election we compared our previous calculations and come up with an estimated swing. This can help inform analysts and campaigners. For the upcoming by-election in Kajang we found that:

  1. Support for PR has increased by 5.08% since GE12, from 62.73% to 67.81%
  2. Support increased from Chinese voters of all ages
  3. Support decreased from Malay voters aged 43 and above
  4. PR is likely to retain the seat this by-election

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Written by politweet

March 7, 2014 at 3:26 pm

Census of Facebook Users in Malaysia, Dec 2012

View this document on Scribd

The following is the executive summary, included in the Scribd document above.

Executive Summary

This document describes the population of Facebook users in Malaysia based on public information collected from Facebook.  The goal is to provide a point of reference for social media marketing and a report on Malaysian interest in politics.

Personal characteristics and interests in topics such as Pakatan Rakyat (PR), Barisan Nasional(BN), coalition leaders, Bersih, 1Malaysia and both mainstream media (MSM) and online alternative media publications were measured by age group and gender.

Users interested in a topic are considered the fan-base for that topic. Research focused on potential voters (users aged 21 years and above).

Findings

Malaysia has a total population of 13.5 million Facebook users. The population is male-dominant – 53% are male and 47% are female.

Out of the total population, 9 million are potential voters – 54% are male and 46% are female.

Results of the analysis show that men are more interested in politics than women, but the overall population has little interest in politics. Only 8.8% of total potential voters expressed interest in PR and BN parties.

The research drew attention to a possible relationship between the male-female ratios of each topic’s fan-base:

  • Female bias was present in the fan-base for Malay-language MSM, Chinese-language MSM.
  • Female bias was strongest in the fan-base for 1Malaysia.
  • Male bias was present in the fan-base for English-language MSM and Barisan Nasional parties.
  • Male bias was strongest in the fan-base for Pakatan Rakyat parties, Bersih and online alternative media.

For female-dominated topics, there is 1Malaysia and Malay-language MSM. The 1Malaysia brand is associated with BN and Malay-language MSM tends to give more coverage to BN parties.

For male-dominated topics, there is PR, Bersih and online alternative media. Bersih is a coalition of non-governmental organisations (NGO) seeking electoral reform. Bersih is strongly supported by PR. Online alternative media tends to give more coverage to PR parties compared to mainstream media.

PR’s fan-base is 1.5 times larger than BN’s fan-base. However the gap between BN and PR is small when it comes to women and PR’s fan-base is more male dominant compared to BN. This means that BN can overtake PR when it comes to potential women voters.

Conclusion

Population growth in November showed that both BN and PR’s fan-base were becoming less male-dominant. However BN started with a more favourable position in terms of gender balance.

Both 1Malaysia and Malay-language MSM have a female-dominant fan-base, which is a good market for BN to draw users from.

PR does not have a female-dominant source to draw from. Bersih and online alternative media are too male-dominant. The main source left to draw from are women who currently do not show an interest in politics, which is a challenge faced by both coalitions.

This places BN in a better position than PR to increase its share of interest from potential women voters.

Written by politweet

January 16, 2013 at 12:54 am

How much time do politicians spend on Twitter?

This infographic (view full size) shows the amount of time spent by each political party on Twitter, based on their number of tweets. Assumptions are:

1. Each tweet takes 15 seconds to write.
2. Majority of tweets are not computer generated (e.g. by a Facebook app).

The average time per politician is 4.27 hours. But a detailed look at the data revealed that within each party a minority of politicians write the majority of tweets. This will be shown in a future diagram.

Here is a partial breakdown of the data:

PKR

1.Nik Nazmi – 39.5 hours
2.Anwar Ibrahim – 22.7 hours
3.Elizabeth Wong – 20.3 hours

DAP

1. Thomas Su – 13.7 hours
2. Lim Kit Siang – 12.7 hours
3. Tony Pua – 12.5 hours

PAS

1. Dr. Lo Lo – 8.5 hours
2. Mahfuz Omar – 6.6 hours

UMNO

1. Khairy Jamaluddin – 38 hours
2. Abdul Rahman Dahlan – 19.14 hours

MCA

1. Wee Ka Siong – 18.9 hours

MIC

1. Kamalanathan – 6.5 hours